Below are listed the pros and cons for the majority of betting systems. Let’s point out that none of these systems provide such a possibility of capital return in terms of speed, as the system for creating valuable types described in a separate article of the bettinglex.co.uk website.
Progression
Is a system based on continuous investing and raising the stake to achieve effect – winning. In such a way that subsequent stakes are larger enough to cover losses incurred so far (e.g. twice, three times, etc.). An example of using this system is betting on a specific team to achieve a draw (odds of around 3). The table below shows the duration of a cycle of 10 games, the stake raising values depends on the multiplier selected.
System Duration(1 game / week) |
Numberof games |
Stake (Stakemultiplier 4) |
Profit formultiplier 4 |
Stake (Stakemultiplier 3) |
Profit formultiplier 3 |
Stake (Stakemultiplier 2.5) |
Profit formultiplier 2.5 |
Stake (Stakemultiplier 2) |
Profit formultiplier 2 |
21 August | 1 | £ 1 | £ 2 | £ 1 | £ 2 | £ 1 | £ 2 | £ 1 | £ 2 |
28 August | 2 | £ 4 | £ 7 | £ 3 | £ 5 | £ 3 | £ 4 | £ 2 | £ 3 |
4 Sept | 3 | £ 16 | £ 27 | £ 9 | £ 14 | £ 6 | £ 9 | £ 4 | £ 5 |
11 Sept | 4 | £ 64 | £ 107 | £ 27 | £ 41 | £ 16 | £ 22 | £ 8 | £ 9 |
18 Sept | 5 | £ 256 | £ 427 | £ 81 | £ 122 | £ 39 | £ 53 | £ 16 | £ 17 |
25 Sept | 6 | £ 1,024 | £ 1,707 | £ 243 | £ 365 | £ 98 | £ 131 | £ 32 | £ 33 |
2 Oct | 7 | £ 4,096 | £ 6,827 | £ 729 | £ 1,094 | £ 244 | £ 326 | £ 64 | £ 65 |
9 Oct | 8 | £ 16,384 | £ 27,307 | £ 2,187 | £ 3,281 | £ 610 | £ 814 | £ 128 | £ 129 |
16 Oct | 9 | £ 65,536 | £ 109,227 | £ 6,561 | £ 9,842 | £ 1,526 | £ 2,035 | £ 256 | £ 257 |
23 Oct | 10 | £ 262,144 | £ 436,907 | £ 19,683 | £ 29,525 | £ 3,815 | £ 5,087 | £ 512 | £ 513 |
Odds taken |
3 |
Are there advantages of this system?
– Betting on events in the short term, the system can bring benefits if we hit selected games after a few rounds.
– We are able to cover the losses so far in the next rounds and our budget allows it.
– Accurate budget planning. You can clearly see how the stakes increase from round to round depending on the selected multiplier. So you can see in advance how long are you able to increase stakes without winning.
But what are the cons?
The calculus of probability is inexorable. The progression system will lead you to bankruptcy in the long run, unless you have an unlimited budget to continue betting on sports tips after 10 losses in a row.
Other minor cons to the progression system include:
– Focusing only on games for one team, system will take a month or two. The leagues usually play every week.
– A very large capital needed to survive a series of failures plus nerves of steel. Everyone should think before using this system whether they can afford a losses 10 in a row – which finally has to happen in the end.
– By choosing a lower stake and a multiplier of 2 instead of 4, from the budgetary point of view, we are able to survive a series of 10 failures, but the expected result after an average of 2 months of playing the system gives you about £500 profit.
– It does not matter which team is selected, the series of wins / losses, draws happen in every league.
Sure bets
The basics of this system is looking for odds in different bookies for the same event, under conditions: when betting divided capital of 3 way results (ex: 1, X, 2 ) expected profit from one result is covering money betted on 2 remaining losses.
To understand this method, 3 cases of the Sure Bet are presented below. The tables show the most important parameters of the system and how odds are divided for the same event (from different bookmakers), neutral tip and no sure bet.
Explanations of formulas used into table:
Margin (%) = (1 / Odds1) + (1 / OddsX) + (1 / Odds2)
Capital divided (%) = 1 / margin / Odds
Profit £= Capital divided * Odds – Capital
Example of Sure Bet table:
Example of Sure Bet table:
Tip | Odds |
% Capital divided to bet |
£ Capital divided to bet |
Profit / Loss £ |
1 | 2.5 | 46% | £ 461 | |
x | 3.5 | 33% | £ 329 | £ +153 |
2 | 5.5 | 21% | £ 210 |
Capital 1000 £
Margin 87% <- Sure bet
Example of Neutral Bet:
Tip | Odds |
% Capital divided to bet |
£ Capital divided to bet |
Profit / Loss £ |
1 | 2 | 50% | £ 500 | |
x | 4 | 25% | £ 250 | £ – |
2 | 4 | 25% | £ 250 |
Capital 1000 £
Margin 100% <- Neutral bet
Example of No Sure Bet:
Tip | Odds |
% Capital divided to bet |
£ Capital divided to bet |
Profit / Loss £ |
1 | 1.5 | 57% | £ 571 | |
x | 4 | 21% | £ 214 | £ – 143 |
2 | 4 | 21% | £ 214 |
Capital 1000 £
Margin 117% <- No Sure Bet
Sounds great, like a steady income method, is it really?
Minuses:
– Capital to invest into system is quite high to make the potential profit worth the time spent (example in the table: Capital £1000).
– After long-term capital trading, bookmakers block the possibility of placing large amounts, which forces you to invest lower the staket, and thus disturb the profitability of the method.
– It is very time-consuming to look for sure bets at various bookmakers, while websites providing such statements are payable.
– Bookmakers constantly are checking their offers looking for sure bets and changing odds, so you have to be one step before Bookies.
– Finally, this system is not 100% reliable. When betting on two-way events, e.g. tennis, bookmakers differently account for interrupted matches (e.g. weather conditions, injuries) and sometimes they do not return the money.
Pros
– Despite the indicated disadvantages, the method is really effective and generates profit.
– Search engines return a large number of online calculators that calculate sure bets for us. Also after some time using this system the Sure Bets calculator can be coded in your head, and after fast review of odds at different bookmakers, you can immediately see what events should be included in this system.
Other systems
There are also other systems such as AKO – accumulative / long list coupons, single, combined with the progression described above. The AKO contains several events on one coupon. Depending on the number of events on the coupons and their combinations, the following systems are available: 2/3, 2/4 with a division up to 6/8, Goliath, Patent, Heinz, Super Heinz, Canadian, Yankee, Trixie. Their common denominator is a large number of simultaneously bet types (up to 250 on an AKO coupon) in various mathematical combinations.
Using this systems in the long term with a high degree of probability, it can be concluded that a series of results (ex: 10 draws into row) will overturn the system margin. Therefore, based on pure mathematics without in-depth analysis of events in terms of values, presented systems are not recommended. If you want to earn constant profit from betting, searching for valuable events is the only effective method.